The counterargument to Churchill is H.L. Mencken: "no man ever went broke underestimating the intelligence of the American people." (paraphrased version). The Italian version is more succinct: "la madre degli scemi e sempre incinta." (the mother of the idiots is always pregnant.

The probability that a large enough majority of the low information swing state voters who get all their news by instagramming and tik-tokking will care more about the planet and the constitution being shredded by the orange rapist dictator on day one than their anger at Biden that the price of eggs and gas isn't the same as in 2019 is very small number, though more than zero. Their magical theocratic thinking will attribute the heat dome or the tornado that trashed their house to the rapture and to divine punishment for allowing their gay and trans neighbors to be visible and see drag queen story hour as a greater threat.