I published my forecast that war would come on February 14.

Taibbi published his forecast that Russia would not invade Ukraine on February 16:

https://taibbi.substack.com/p/another-all-time-media-faceplant?r=5mz1&utm_campaign=post&utm_medium=web

Who was right?

I wish Taibbi's forecasts were securitizable so I could buy put options to bet against them. He's a great contrarian indicator.